Showing posts with label Again. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Again. Show all posts

Friday, February 17, 2012

The Week Has Begun, And Markets Are Higher Again

There wasn't too much news over the weekend -- nothing dramatic on the Europe front -- and so for now the vaguely positive-ish vibe from last week continues.

US futures are up a touch.

Japan, catching up to Friday's big move state-side, is making nice gains.

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For a look at what's coming this week in the economy see here.

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Saturday, October 1, 2011

Putin Set To Be Russian President Again

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Current President Dimitry Medvedev put Prime Minister Vladimir Putin forward for next year's presidential elections, reports Reuters.

The announcement came at Today's United Moscow conference in Moscow. The crowd gave a long standing ovation afterwards.

The news ends months of speculation over who will rule Russia and opens the door for Putin to be President until 2024 under current laws.

Putin had previously served two terms as President, the most allowed consecutively by Russian law. Medvedev served one term as President, though the real extent of his power was often doubted.

In next March's elections Putin will likely face just two serious candidates -- nationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky and Communist Gennady Zyuganov -- neither of whom are thought to have any chance of beating Putin.

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Thursday, September 22, 2011

Stocks Diving AGAIN After Fed Action, Dollar On The Rampage

  x You have successfully emailed the post. Yesterday stocks got destroyed after the Fed's announcement of Operation Twist, an announcement that obviously left a lot of market participants wanting.

Well the market's falling again.

All the big US indices are down over 1.3% at the moment.

Europe's getting smashed, naturally. Italy is off about 3%.

France is off 3.7%.

The only winner? Not gold. Not Swiss Franc. The dollar.

Not helping things: A fresh batch of bad economic news in both Europe and China. See here for more details on that.

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Saturday, September 17, 2011

Confirmed (Again): Turntable.fm Finally Admits It Raised $7 Million

Earlier this summer we reported that Turntable.fm raised between $7 and $7.5 million dollars.

A lot of people didn't believe us. But, we were right.

On stage today at TechCrunch Disrupt, the group music listening company is announcing that it raised a $7 million round led by Union Square Ventures.

Turntable.fm was a pivot from a failed startup, Stickybits. Stickybits' original investors, First Round Capital, Polaris Venture Partners, and Lowercase Ventures, also participated in the round.

In addition, a number of entertainment and Internet industry executives invested. Some declined to be named (we speculate Kanye West and Lady Gaga). Other investors include Lady Gaga's manager, Troy Carter, MTV's Courtney Holt, former Facebook executive Tim Kendall, The Roots, and Madonna's manager, Guy Oseary.

Union Square Ventures' Fred Wilson will be joining Turntable.fm's board. 

The founders had a relationship with Fred Wilson that goes back 15 years. They've pitched him before, and Wilson has turned them down before. While west coast investors wanted in on the deal, the founders say that, because they're a New York company, they wanted to choose nearby investors.

Turntable.fm has been used by 600,000 people (40% are active users), and 1 million songs are streamed on the music site per day.  Turntable.fm was founded in May, 2011 by Billy Chasen and Seth Goldstein.


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Thursday, September 15, 2011

The FAA Is About To Run Out Of Money AGAIN Due To Senate Stalemate

For the second time in as many months, the Federal Aviation Administration may temporarily furlough some 80,000 employees if Congress  can't reach a deal to extend the agency's funding by Friday night.

Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) has held up passage of the funding extension bill, which would appropriate additional money for the FAA and federal highway transit projects, citing an objection to one component of the transit side of the legislation. The House unanimously passed that bill Tuesday, and the Senate has until midnight on Friday to also pass it before funding for the FAA runs out.

Complicating matters, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) accused Coburn of putting a hold on a $7 million FEMA emergency funding bill that, due to procedural rules, must be voted on before the Senate can move on to the FAA bill. Since the Senate passed a cloture motion on Tuesday to move ahead on the FEMA bill, they must tackle that bill first unless Reid punts on it, something he has so far refused to do.

Coburn wants to amend the FAA bill to remove a provision requiring states to spend 10% of their highway budgets on "transportation enhancement" projects, such as bike paths and green space improvements. On Wednesday, Coburn acknowledged on the Senate floor that his position would likely be unpopular, but insisted that it was, in his mind, the right thing to do.

“If the Senate wants to solve the problem with these two bills, we can split them up or we can keep them together but we need to end the enhancements right now until we get the highway trust fund healthy again,” he said, according to The Hill.

In August, the FAA shut down for 13 days when Congress failed to reach a deal on a temporary funding extension. The latest funding extension would prop up the FAA until January.


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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

ONCE AGAIN: Audience At GOP Debate Cheers For Death

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ron paulAudience members at a Republican debate once again cheered for death,

After going crazy for Texas Gov. Rick Perry's record overseeing 234 executions in Texas last week, the audience at the CNN Tea Party debate Monday night shouted "yes," when moderator Wolf Blitzer asked Rep. Ron Paul if a sick person without insurance should be allowed to die.

After the jeering subsided, Paul said in his medical career he has never seen someone denied needed medical treatment — consistent with his philosophy that local communities, not government should support those needing help.

Here's the shocking video, via TPM:

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Sunday, September 11, 2011

Euro Tanking, And European Equities Sliding Again After A Huge Day Of News

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Thursday was a huge day around the world, with Obama's jobs speech, Bernanke's speech, Trichet's tirade, and some mediocre data, not to mention a new 9/11 terror threat.

Anyway, markets aren't so hot. The big European indices are off somewhere in the neighborhood of -.5%, give or take 0.1%.

US futures actually remain higher at the moment, and gold continues to rally.

The euro is down notably, below $1.39.

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Thursday, September 8, 2011

There Are Two Big Reasons Why Goldman Sachs Just Got Sued For Fraud Again (GS)

dan-sparksDan Sparks

The FHFA's massive bank lawsuit extravaganza is a reminder of the horrific behavior that took place inside the subprime mortgage machine: fraud.

In it's lawsuit against Goldman Sachs, the FHFA claims that Goldman directly committed common law fraud, and particularly claims that Goldman "aided and abetted fraud."

This is the second time a government agency has accused Goldman of fraud. It's a big deal.

The agency seeks to recover the damages it sustained as a result of Goldman's wrongdoing, including the amount it paid for the securities ($11.1 billion) plus interest, the amount the value of those securities have lost, and legal fees.

The most serious of the FHFA's 10 causes of action against Goldman is for fraud.

And there are two big reasons why the FHFA says Goldman's actions were fraudulent. In short, they are the money it paid to get a window into the mortgage origination process and Dan Sparks.

Here's the first. From a key sentence in the FHFA lawsuit:

Because the information that Goldman provided or caused to be provided [to ratings agencies] was false, the ratings were inflated... [and] also that Goldman Sachs knew, or was reckless in not knowing, that it was falsely representing the underlying process and riskiness of the mortgage loans... because Goldman’s longstanding relationships with the problematic originators, and its numerous roles in the securitization chain, made it uniquely positioned to know the originators had abandoned their underwriting guidelines... [and because] as a result, the GSEs paid Defendants inflated prices for purported AAA (or its equivalent) Certificates, unaware that those Certificates actually carried a severe risk of loss and inadequate credit enhancement.

The big thing here is that Goldman funded mortgage originators, who encouraged property appraisers to inflate home values by firing them if they didn't and gave half million dollar loans to people like hairdressers and gardeners.

The other main reason Goldman is getting sued for fraud is that some of its employees signed the "shelf registration documents" registering the securities for multiple issuance with the SEC.

The FHFA alleges that those employees made false statements and omitted facts such as:

A number of the properties were stated as "owner-occupied" when in fact they were second homes or investment properties. (The FHFA says this is material because a borrower who lives in a mortgaged property is less likely to stop paying their mortgage and thus a better investment.)The mortgage loans' Loan-To-Value (LTV) ratios, key numbers in determining the risk of a mortgage loan, were said in Prospectus Supplements to have ratios of 80% or less (meaning that the borrower got a loan for less than their house is worth -- a much more attractive investment than a borrower who took out a loan for more than their house is worth) when in fact many were higher because the appraised values given to the homes were significantly than the actual value of the homes.And those documents, which were key in determining the value of the securities sold to Fannie and Freddie, are alleged to have been manufactured fraudulently by Goldman and its employees.The reason Goldman the company is sued for manufacturing these documents and not the people named seems to be that Goldman 1) provided money to the mortgage originators so that they would grant more mortgages to borrowers and sell them to Goldman to securitize, 2) incentivized its employees to securitize and sell as many loans as quickly as possible*, and 3) that there was "significant overlap between the management of the Goldman Sachs Group and the directors and officers of GS Mortgage Securities," meaning basically that Goldman made mortgages a big part of its business.

(In fact, in subprime RMBS securitizations, Goldman's deal volume increased from $2.1 billion in 2003 to $9.7 billion in 2004, to $14.5 billion in 2005 to $15 billion in 2006. And in ALT-A RMBS securitizations, Goldman's deal volume increased from $3.8 billion in 2004 to $10.4 billion in 2005 to $20.5 billion in 2006, according to the lawsuit.)

Goldman is also on the hook because it saw the poor quality of the loans it bought from the mortgage originators it funded (the lawsuit says Goldman received daily updates on how many loans were delilquint), retained third-party due diligence providers to analyze those loans that it considered securitizing regardless of the delinquinces (a smart move considering that it might have absolved Goldman of responsibility for any poor-quality loans in the Securitizations) but Goldman didn't listen to the companies' recommendations to exclude a significant number of loans. Goldman included the loans in its Securitizations anyway. Then it got the ratings agencies to rate them attractively. But it stated in offering documents that the loans had generally met the guidelines of the due diligence review.

 Our takeaways: Dan Sparks is full-on attacked in the lawsuit. The FHFA basically blames the rot of Goldman's mortgage business on him and his team's "traveling the world" to "make some lemonade from some big old lemons" (his words).

Of all the Goldman employees named as defendants, Sparks is the bad guy this time. The others are barely mentioned. 

It's the FHFA's imperative to encourage the mortgage industry to support a robust housing market. So at first it might seem that the lawsuits are counter-productive for discouraging lending during a time when already, few are lending.

And in a way, it is. But the FHFA lost billions. And they're a regulator that has to disincentivize fraud, which of course makes home buyers wary of the housing market.

This lawsuit, and any others that might follow, help achieve that goal.

Endgame: It seems like a settlement is coming.

It's a hard sell, to us at least, that Goldman can be found directly at fault for Fannie and Freddie's losses because 1) No matter who it paid to do so, Goldman didn't originate most of the loans, and that's where the real fraud took place; 2) Fannie and Freddie should have investigated the quality of the loans before investing in them (although the FHFA says it could not have known); and 3) Much of the blame is on this system that created impossible loans to pay off so that someone would actually invest in those loans (incredible yield) so that it could grant loans to people who couldn't pay them off because discriminating against poor people was litigously discouraged back in 1992.

This lawsuit certainly spells out Goldman's role in each step of that system (Using evidence from the lawsuit, we could probably create a flip book of Sparks blazing the trail for each of them), but Fannie and Freddie remain "sophisticated investors."

* The lawsuit says "Defendants had enormous financial incentives to complete as many offerings as quickly as possible without regard to ensuring the accuracy or completeness of the Registration Statements or conducting adequate and reasonable due diligence... if for no other reason than to quickly get them off Goldman's books." 

In reality Goldman and its employees had two incentives:

1. GS Mortgage Securities was paid a percentage of the total dollar amount of the offering whenever the Securitization was complete, if GSMS was the depositor (and it was in most of the relevant instances in this lawsuit regarding securities that Fannie and Freddie invested in).

2. GS, the underwriter, got a commission based on how much it sold the Certificates for. 


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Thursday, September 1, 2011

Indian Food Inflation Is Red Hot Again

India's wholesale price index (WPI), which measures food inflation, rose to 10.05% in the week ending August 20, from a year ago, according to The Economic Times.

Inflation had eased to single digits in June but has picked up since. Prices of onion surged 57.01% year-on-year for the week ending August 20. Onions which are crucial to Indian cooking have been responsible for the downfall of political parties.

The price of fruits went up 21.58% and vegetables were up 15.78%. 
The cost of potatoes were up 13.31% for the same period, while eggs, meat and fish jumped 12.62% and milk increased 9.22%. The price of pulses and wheat however fell during the same period.   

To curb inflation, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the country's central bank has hiked interest rates 11 times since March 2010. 

Today Brazil cut its overnight lending rates on concerns of global economic slowdown, but India which has expressed similar concerns of a global slowdown is expected to maintain its tight stance on monetary policy. In the past the RBI had said that it would maintain its anti-inflationary stance as long as it was necessary, and that short-run deceleration was unavoidable. With Q2 GDP growth of 7.7% the central bank is expected to announce another rate hike. Societe Generale analyst Alejandro Cuadrado expects a 0.25% rate hike at the upcoming meeting and total 0.5% before the year is out. 

Indian consumers have lost $128.7 billion to inflation in the last three years mostly because of rising food and fuel prices. So it would come as no surprise that workers are demanding higher wages to bear the brunt of food costs. Now the country is grappling with wage inflation as well. Recently, state-controlled Coal India's unions demanded a 100% salary hike, while wages for the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) 500 firms grew 19%, in the three months to June.

With a good monsoon food prices are expected to ease. Meanwhile politicians have kept up their rhetoric, promising that food prices will eventually go down.

Don't Miss: The 10 Worst Central Bankers In The World >


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Monday, August 29, 2011

Once Again German Participation In The Greek Bailout Is Up In The Air

  x You have successfully emailed the post. hot air balloonTwo of the largest holders of Greek debt in Germany may not participate in the second Greek bailout, despite previous assurances from German government officials that these "bad banks" will "make a contribution."

"It is a decision for the two bad banks to take," said a spokeswoman for the Germany Finance Ministry, as quoted by Reuters.

"Bad banks" refer to agencies backed by the public sector which have collected all the toxic Greek assets from good German banks.

The questionable participation of these "bad banks" strikes an ominous tone, particularly after the Greek government announced last week that it would not go ahead with a crucial bond swap if less than 90% of private sector Greek bondholders chose to participate.

The two major "bad banks" -- FMS Wertmanagement and Erste Abwicklungsanstalt -- hold a combined $12.3 billion in Greek sovereign debt, according to the Financial Times.

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