Showing posts with label There. Show all posts
Showing posts with label There. Show all posts

Monday, February 13, 2012

There Are More Wireless Subscribers In The U.S. Than People

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CTIA released a new survey yesterday with some interesting data on wireless subscribers in the U.S. The survey covers January 2011 through June 2011.

Right now there are more than 327 million wireless subscriptions in the U.S. That's about 20 million more subscriptions than there are people.

How is that possible?

The survey takes into account all wireless subscriptions, including tablets. Apparently, many people are carrying around more than one connected device.

Some other interesting stats from the survey:

The average local monthly wireless bill is $47.23.1.138 trillion text messages received.278.3 million active data-capable devices running. (That includes tablets, wireless hotspots, etc.)

Read more survey results from CTIA here >

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JPMorgan Earnings "Beat" By 10 Cents, But Key Parts Of The Business Stink, And There Was a Big Accounting Gain (JPM)

dimon-jamie-madJPMorgan Q3 earnings have come in better than expected, at $1.02.

But it's a bank report, so were going to need to look deeper to see if it's good.

The first red flag is the Debt Valuation Adjustment: The company booked a big gain BECAUSE its bonds worsened significantly, meaning technically on an accounting basis, the company's equity jumped. Read an explanation here.

Here's their commentary

Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented: “The Firm reported third-quarter net income of $4.3 billion, representing a 13% return on tangible common equity1. It is notable that these results included several significant items(*), including a $542 million pretax loss in Private Equity, $1.0 billion pretax of additional litigation expense in Corporate and a $1.9 billion pretax DVA gain. The DVA gain reflects an adjustment for the widening of the Firm’s credit spreads which could reverse in future periods and does not relate to the underlying operations of the company. All things considered, we believe the Firm’s returns were reasonable given the current environment.”

This is also some useful commentary about the way things are going:

Further commenting on business results, Dimon said: “The Investment Bank’s revenue, excluding the DVA gain, was down substantially; however, we are gratified that the business maintained its #1 ranking in Global Investment Banking Fees, and we believe that we have maintained a healthy share of the global sales and trading market. Retail Financial Services demonstrated good underlying performance, with solid revenue and increased deposits in Consumer & Business Banking and strong retail mortgage origination volumes in our Mortgage Banking business. In our Card business, credit card sales volume, excluding Commercial Card, was up 10% compared with the prior year. Commercial Banking reported continued loan growth, including middle-market loan balances up 18% compared with the prior year, and record deposit2 balances of $180.3 billion were up 31% compared with the prior year. In Treasury & Securities Services, trade finance loans increased 69% to $30.1 billion, and deposit2 balances increased 41% to $341.1 billion. Corporate/Private Equity results were negatively affected by market conditions, the Firm’s decision to take certain positions in its securities portfolio in anticipation of an eventual increase in interest rates, and additional litigation expense.”

Here are the key points from the press release, which you can download here.

Challenging investment banking and capital markets environment; Firm maintained its #1 ranking for Global Investment Banking Fees year-to-dateConsumer & Business Banking reported solid revenue, up 6% compared with prior year, and deposits up 7%; added 60 new branches during the quarterCredit Card sales volume2 up 10%; net charge-offs declined as expectedCommercial Banking reported solid revenue, with strong loan growth, up 9%, and record deposit2 balances, up 31%Treasury & Securities Services reported strong growth in deposit2 balances, up 41%Third-quarter results included the following significant items:(*) $1.9 billion pretax ($0.29 per share after-tax) benefit from debit valuation adjustment (“DVA”) gains in the Investment Bank, resulting from widening of the Firm’s credit spreads$542 million pretax ($0.09 per share after-tax) Private Equity loss$1.0 billion pretax ($0.15 per share after-tax) additional litigation expense, predominantly for mortgage-related matters, in Corporate

Meanwhile, check out these three charts for a deeper understanding of JPMorgan's business right now.

Original post: Stay tuned.

The first big financial earnings report is due out at 7:00 AM ET.

Analysts expect EPS of $0.93 on revenue of $25.3 billion.

We'll have it out.


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Sunday, February 5, 2012

Big Fire At A Foxconn Plant, But It Says There Will Be No Impact On Operations (AAPL)

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There was another fire at a Foxconn plant today, but there were no casualties or impact on operations, Reuters reports.

Foxconn manufactures all sorts of electronics, but it is best known for making iPhones and iPads.

Arnold Kim of MacRumors tweeted out a photo of the fire, which looks pretty serious. The fire was caused by electrical cables on a roof, per Reuters.

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Saturday, February 4, 2012

There Probably Won't Be Any $100 Million MLB Contracts In The Near Future

  x You have successfully emailed the post. In Major League Baseball history, teams have handed out 27 contracts worth at least $100 million. But two of the most recent signees will leave teams thinking twice before they hand out another $100 million contract for a player that doesn't have a history of carrying their team.

This past off-season, the two biggest free agents were Carl Crawford and Jayson Werth. Crawford signed a seven-year, $142 million contract with the Red Sox. And Werth signed with the Nationals for seven years and $126 million.

Together, those players made $32 million this season in salary and signing bonuses. They also hit .243 with 31 home runs and 37 stolen bases...combined. According to Fangraphs.com, Crawford was worth just 0.4 Wins above a replacement-level player (read: borderline minor leaguer) which translates to a dollar value of $1.6 million. Werth was worth a little more at 2.6 Wins or about $11.8 million.

While both Crawford and Werth have both been very good players for a very long time, neither player has ever being among the best in the game. They are all-stars, not Hall-of-Famers. And as a result, teams will likely be more hesitant to hand out big checks to that tier of very good players just below the superstars.

In the end, the greats, like Albert Pujols, will still get their big paydays. But it might be a while before we see another good-but-not-great player crack nine digits with their next contract.

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Thursday, September 15, 2011

There Are A Ton Of Good NFL Games On Tomorrow — Here's How You Should Juggle Them All

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We're two days away from the first NFL Sunday of the season.

The good news: we've got a bunch of good games.

The bad news: they're all on at 1 p.m. (east coast) on Sunday.

The Eagles-Rams, Ravens-Steelers, Lions-Bucs, and Bears-Falcons all kick off at that time.

Here's how you should prioritize them if you don't have a prevailing rooting interest:

1. Ravens-Steelers (CBS) — One of the best rivalries in the sport. These games are always really close and really well-played. This won't be the last meaningful game between these two teams this season.

2. Lions-Bucs (FOX) — Two teams with a ton of young talent and lofty expectations for the first time in a long time. John Freeman and Matt Stafford are both poised to jump to the "elite" level this year. Should be a fun one between two squads that are new to this whole "meaningful games" thing.

3. Eagles-Rams (FOX) — An intriguing one between two teams that are favorites to win their respective divisions. A lot of people like the Rams to pull the upset at home here.

4. Falcons-Bears (FOX) — Everyone thinks the Bears are going to take a huge step back after winning 11 games last year. And everyone thinks the Falcons are going to be an offensive juggernaut. This game will give us a good idea of where each team will end up

The one other quality game — Jets-Cowboys — is at 8:20 p.m. on NBC on Sunday.

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Thursday, September 8, 2011

There Are Two Big Reasons Why Goldman Sachs Just Got Sued For Fraud Again (GS)

dan-sparksDan Sparks

The FHFA's massive bank lawsuit extravaganza is a reminder of the horrific behavior that took place inside the subprime mortgage machine: fraud.

In it's lawsuit against Goldman Sachs, the FHFA claims that Goldman directly committed common law fraud, and particularly claims that Goldman "aided and abetted fraud."

This is the second time a government agency has accused Goldman of fraud. It's a big deal.

The agency seeks to recover the damages it sustained as a result of Goldman's wrongdoing, including the amount it paid for the securities ($11.1 billion) plus interest, the amount the value of those securities have lost, and legal fees.

The most serious of the FHFA's 10 causes of action against Goldman is for fraud.

And there are two big reasons why the FHFA says Goldman's actions were fraudulent. In short, they are the money it paid to get a window into the mortgage origination process and Dan Sparks.

Here's the first. From a key sentence in the FHFA lawsuit:

Because the information that Goldman provided or caused to be provided [to ratings agencies] was false, the ratings were inflated... [and] also that Goldman Sachs knew, or was reckless in not knowing, that it was falsely representing the underlying process and riskiness of the mortgage loans... because Goldman’s longstanding relationships with the problematic originators, and its numerous roles in the securitization chain, made it uniquely positioned to know the originators had abandoned their underwriting guidelines... [and because] as a result, the GSEs paid Defendants inflated prices for purported AAA (or its equivalent) Certificates, unaware that those Certificates actually carried a severe risk of loss and inadequate credit enhancement.

The big thing here is that Goldman funded mortgage originators, who encouraged property appraisers to inflate home values by firing them if they didn't and gave half million dollar loans to people like hairdressers and gardeners.

The other main reason Goldman is getting sued for fraud is that some of its employees signed the "shelf registration documents" registering the securities for multiple issuance with the SEC.

The FHFA alleges that those employees made false statements and omitted facts such as:

A number of the properties were stated as "owner-occupied" when in fact they were second homes or investment properties. (The FHFA says this is material because a borrower who lives in a mortgaged property is less likely to stop paying their mortgage and thus a better investment.)The mortgage loans' Loan-To-Value (LTV) ratios, key numbers in determining the risk of a mortgage loan, were said in Prospectus Supplements to have ratios of 80% or less (meaning that the borrower got a loan for less than their house is worth -- a much more attractive investment than a borrower who took out a loan for more than their house is worth) when in fact many were higher because the appraised values given to the homes were significantly than the actual value of the homes.And those documents, which were key in determining the value of the securities sold to Fannie and Freddie, are alleged to have been manufactured fraudulently by Goldman and its employees.The reason Goldman the company is sued for manufacturing these documents and not the people named seems to be that Goldman 1) provided money to the mortgage originators so that they would grant more mortgages to borrowers and sell them to Goldman to securitize, 2) incentivized its employees to securitize and sell as many loans as quickly as possible*, and 3) that there was "significant overlap between the management of the Goldman Sachs Group and the directors and officers of GS Mortgage Securities," meaning basically that Goldman made mortgages a big part of its business.

(In fact, in subprime RMBS securitizations, Goldman's deal volume increased from $2.1 billion in 2003 to $9.7 billion in 2004, to $14.5 billion in 2005 to $15 billion in 2006. And in ALT-A RMBS securitizations, Goldman's deal volume increased from $3.8 billion in 2004 to $10.4 billion in 2005 to $20.5 billion in 2006, according to the lawsuit.)

Goldman is also on the hook because it saw the poor quality of the loans it bought from the mortgage originators it funded (the lawsuit says Goldman received daily updates on how many loans were delilquint), retained third-party due diligence providers to analyze those loans that it considered securitizing regardless of the delinquinces (a smart move considering that it might have absolved Goldman of responsibility for any poor-quality loans in the Securitizations) but Goldman didn't listen to the companies' recommendations to exclude a significant number of loans. Goldman included the loans in its Securitizations anyway. Then it got the ratings agencies to rate them attractively. But it stated in offering documents that the loans had generally met the guidelines of the due diligence review.

 Our takeaways: Dan Sparks is full-on attacked in the lawsuit. The FHFA basically blames the rot of Goldman's mortgage business on him and his team's "traveling the world" to "make some lemonade from some big old lemons" (his words).

Of all the Goldman employees named as defendants, Sparks is the bad guy this time. The others are barely mentioned. 

It's the FHFA's imperative to encourage the mortgage industry to support a robust housing market. So at first it might seem that the lawsuits are counter-productive for discouraging lending during a time when already, few are lending.

And in a way, it is. But the FHFA lost billions. And they're a regulator that has to disincentivize fraud, which of course makes home buyers wary of the housing market.

This lawsuit, and any others that might follow, help achieve that goal.

Endgame: It seems like a settlement is coming.

It's a hard sell, to us at least, that Goldman can be found directly at fault for Fannie and Freddie's losses because 1) No matter who it paid to do so, Goldman didn't originate most of the loans, and that's where the real fraud took place; 2) Fannie and Freddie should have investigated the quality of the loans before investing in them (although the FHFA says it could not have known); and 3) Much of the blame is on this system that created impossible loans to pay off so that someone would actually invest in those loans (incredible yield) so that it could grant loans to people who couldn't pay them off because discriminating against poor people was litigously discouraged back in 1992.

This lawsuit certainly spells out Goldman's role in each step of that system (Using evidence from the lawsuit, we could probably create a flip book of Sparks blazing the trail for each of them), but Fannie and Freddie remain "sophisticated investors."

* The lawsuit says "Defendants had enormous financial incentives to complete as many offerings as quickly as possible without regard to ensuring the accuracy or completeness of the Registration Statements or conducting adequate and reasonable due diligence... if for no other reason than to quickly get them off Goldman's books." 

In reality Goldman and its employees had two incentives:

1. GS Mortgage Securities was paid a percentage of the total dollar amount of the offering whenever the Securitization was complete, if GSMS was the depositor (and it was in most of the relevant instances in this lawsuit regarding securities that Fannie and Freddie invested in).

2. GS, the underwriter, got a commission based on how much it sold the Certificates for. 


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Wednesday, August 31, 2011

France Says There Must Be No Bilateral Accords On Greece

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European politicians seem to be making little progress in resolving a dispute over the Greek bailout that has been raging on since August 16.

Here's the latest:

- French government spokeswoman Valerie Pecresse told reporters today that France "want[s] this deal to be implemented and nothing but this deal. We reassert that there can be no bilateral agreement without the approval and agreement of the entire euro zone," according to Reuters. However, the July 21 agreement actually did make provisions for some sort of collateral arrangement between Finland and Greece (though not any other countries).

- German newspaper Handelsblatt reported today (via Dow Jones Newswires) that EU leaders were considering bank shares as collateral. This provision could extend to nations beyond Finland, and may also sidestep legal issues that would accompany a cash agreement.

- Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen announced today that he sees the situation being resolved in "a few days or weeks" -- hardly reassuring.

Last week Finland sparked controversy when it negotiated a bilateral collateral agreement with Greece as a condition of its participation in the Greek bailout. A host of other EU countries jumped on board the collateral bandwagon, and now bickering over collateral threatens to unravel the bailout deal altogether -- or at the very least delay it indefinitely.

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Sunday, August 28, 2011

There Is Some Pretty Serious Flooding In Red Hook, Brooklyn

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red hook mapRed Hook is a neighborhood in south-western Brooklyn that juts out into the waters below the southern tip of Manhattan. 

It's been getting a lot of media coverage in recent months for its hip restaurants and shops.

It's also where New York's Fairway and Ikea stores are located.

The entire neighborhood is in Zone A and was required to evacuate by 5pm yesterday.  

Today you can see why. 

While the flood waters didn't reach to far into the neighborhood, when I biked down there this morning entire intersections were under water.

I snapped some pictures.

Fairway IreneFairway, which had its shelves stripped bare on Friday, now appears to be under water.

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook IreneAround the corner from Fairway. Water was deepest here.

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook IreneIntersection of Van Brunt and Bowne.

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook IreneVan Brunt and Commerce.

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook Irene signsHowever, the signs in Red Hook are the best in city.

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook Irene signsImage: Glynnis MacNicol

Red Hook Irene signsServicey!

Image: Glynnis MacNicol

Now see what New York City looked like as Irene was passing through >>>

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Saturday, August 27, 2011

UPDATE: Now There Are 200,000 People Without Power In N.C. And Virginia

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Tuesday, August 23, 2011

There Is A Rumor That JP Morgan May Take Over Bank Of America

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There is a rumor circulated on Wall St. that JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) will take over Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) within the week. The government will support the deal with a $100 billion investment in preferred shares issued by the combined entity. Alternatively, the government may guarantee the value of a large pool of Bank of America assets. The word is that Treasury Secretary Geithner has discussed the transaction with JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon.The “merger” would completely destroy the value of BAC’s common shares.

The government feels that the deal may be necessary as Bank of America struggles unsuccessfully to close several transactions to bolster its balance sheet. The Wall Street Journal reported that the financial firm will need to raise $200 billion which would be another possible event that would wipe out common shareholders.

Bank of America’s fortunes have been hurt by events in just the last few days. A New York State judge agreed to allow institutional investors to intervene in an $8.5 billion settlement between the bank and groups that lost money on mortgage-backed securities. China Construction Bank Corp said Bank of American will continue to hold 50% of its share in the foreign financial firm. Many investors hoped Bank of America would sell its entire stake to raise money. Several analysts believe that the costs of owning mortgage firm Countrywide Credit have grown unexpectedly large.

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